Transmission dynamics of HIV infection

Nature. 1987 Mar;326(6109):137-42. doi: 10.1038/326137a0.


Simple mathematical models of the transmission dynamics of human immunodeficiency virus help to clarify some of the essential relations between epidemiological factors, such as distributed incubation periods and heterogeneity in sexual activity, and the overall pattern of the AIDS epidemic. They also help to identify what kinds of epidemiological data are needed to make predictions of future trends.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.

MeSH terms

  • Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome / transmission*
  • Disease Outbreaks*
  • Europe
  • Homosexuality
  • Models, Theoretical
  • Risk
  • Substance-Related Disorders / complications
  • Time Factors
  • United States