Pattern and prognostic factors for kidney function progression in survivors of children with acute kidney injury: a cohort study

Abstract

Objective: To examine the pattern of kidney function progression after acute kidney injury (AKI) and identify the associated risk factors.

Design: A prospective cohort study was conducted from June 2020 to June 2021 on children aged 1 month to <18 years admitted to the paediatric intensive care unit (PICU). Acute kidney disease (AKD) was defined as AKI persisting from 7 to 90 days after diagnosis. The natural history and prognostic factors of kidney function progression were determined.

Results: Among the 253 admissions with a median (IQR) age of 4.9 (9.7) years, the AKI and AKD incidence was 41.9% and 52.2% respectively. The incidence of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <90 mL/min/1.73 m² was 6.7% at 90 days and 11.9% at latest follow-up. Severe and prolonged AKI and higher degree of nephrotoxic medication exposure were associated with AKD development. The severity and duration of AKI and AKD significantly predicted kidney function non-recovery. Children with both entities exhibited a higher peak-to-baseline serum creatinine level ratio at 90 days (1.6 vs 1.0, p<0.001), and a more pronounced decline in eGFR (21% vs 19%, p=0.028) during the follow-up period compared with those without AKI/AKD. They also had an increased risk of having eGFR <90 mL/min/1.73 m² at 90 days (HR 14.9 (95% CI 1.8 to 124.0)) and latest follow-up (HR 3.8 (95% CI 1.1 to 13.1)).

Conclusions: AKI and AKD are prevalent among critically ill children and pose substantial risk for non-recovery of kidney function among PICU survivors. A structural follow-up visit for AKI survivors to monitor kidney function progression is advocated.

Keywords: epidemiology; intensive care units, paediatric; nephrology; paediatrics.