Interval Cancer in Population-Based Colorectal Screening Programmes: Incidence and Characteristics of Tumours

Cancers (Basel). 2024 Feb 13;16(4):769. doi: 10.3390/cancers16040769.

Abstract

The objective of this study is to evaluate interval cancer (IC) in colorectal cancer (CRC) screening, which is CRC diagnosed in an individual after having received a negative faecal occult blood test and before the next invitation to participate in screening. A follow-up study was conducted on a cohort of participants in the first three screening rounds of four colorectal cancer screening programmes in Spain, n = 664,993. A total of 321 ICs and 2120 screen-detected cancers (SCs) were found. The IC and SC rates were calculated for each guaiac (gFOBT) or immunochemical (FIT) test. A Cox regression model was used to estimate the hazard ratios (HR) of IC risk factors. A nested case-control study was carried out to compare IC and SC tumour characteristics. The IC rate was 1.16‱ with the gFOBT and 0.35‱ with the FIT. Men and people aged 60-69 showed an increased probability of IC (HR = 1.81 and HR = 1.95, respectively). There was a decreased probability of IC in individuals who regularly participated in screening, HR = 0.62 (0.47-0.82). IC risk gradually rose as the amount of Hb detected in the FIT increased. IC tumours were in more advanced stages and of a larger size than SC tumours, and they were mostly located in the cecum. These results may play a key role in future strategies for screening programmes, reducing IC incidence.

Keywords: colorectal cancer; decision aids; faecal immunochemical test; personalisation strategies; screening.