Both HFpEF and HFmrEF should be included in calculating CHA2DS2-VASc score: A Taiwanese longitudinal cohort

Abstract

Background: Congestive heart failure (CHF) as a risk of stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) mainly referred to patients with left ventricular systolic dysfunction. Whether this should include patients with preserved ejection fraction is debatable.

Objective: The study aimed to investigate the variation in stroke risk of AF patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), heart failure with mid-range ejection fraction (HFmrEF), and heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) for enhancing risk assessment and subsequent management strategies.

Methods: In a longitudinal study using the National Taiwan University Hospital integrated Medical Database, 8358 patients with AF were observed for 10 years (mean follow-up, 3.76 years). The study evaluated the risk of ischemic stroke in patients with differing ejection fractions and CHA₂DS₂-VASc score, further using Cox models adjusted for risk factors of AF-related stroke.

Results: Patients with HFpEF and HFmrEF had a higher mean CHA₂DS₂-VASc score compared with patients with HFrEF (4.30 ± 1.729 vs 4.15 ± 1.736 vs 3.73 ± 1.712; P < .001) and higher risk of stroke during follow-up (hazard ratio [HR], 1.40 [1.161-1.688; P < .001] for HFmrEF; HR, 1.184 [1.075-1.303; P = .001] for HFpEF vs no CHF) after multivariate adjustment). In patients with lower CHA₂DS₂-VASc score (0-4), presence of any type of CHF increased ischemic stroke risk (HFrEF HR, 1.568 [1.189-2.068; P = .001]; HFmrEF HR, 1.890 [1.372-2.603; P < .001]; HFpEF HR, 1.800 [1.526-2.123; P < .001] vs no CHF).

Conclusion: After multivariate adjustment, HFpEF and HFmrEF showed a similar risk of stroke in AF patients. Therefore, it is important to extend the criteria for C in the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score to include patients with HFpEF and HFmrEF. In patients with fewer concomitant stroke risk factors, the presence of any subtype of CHF increases risk for ischemic stroke.

Keywords: Atrial fibrillation; CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc score; HFmrEF; HFpEF; HFrEF; Ischemic stroke.