Noninvasive Artificial Intelligence System for Early Predicting Residual Cancer Burden During Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy in Breast Cancer

Ann Surg. 2025 Apr 1;281(4):645-654. doi: 10.1097/SLA.0000000000006279. Epub 2024 Apr 1.

Abstract

Objective: To develop an artificial intelligence (AI) system for the early prediction of residual cancer burden (RCB) scores during neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) in breast cancer.

Background: RCB III indicates drug resistance in breast cancer, and early detection methods are lacking.

Methods: This study enrolled 1048 patients with breast cancer from 4 institutions, who were all receiving NAC. Magnetic resonance images were collected at the pre-NAC and mid-NAC stages, and radiomics and deep learning features were extracted. A multitask AI system was developed to classify patients into 3 groups (RCB 0 to I, II, and III ) in the primary cohort (PC, n=335). Feature selection was conducted using the Mann-Whitney U test, Spearman analysis, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression, and the Boruta algorithm. Single-modality models were developed, followed by model integration. The AI system was validated in 3 external validation cohorts (EVCs, n=713).

Results: Among the patients, 442 (42.18%) were RCB 0 to I, 462 (44.08%) were RCB II, and 144 (13.74%) were RCB III. Model I achieved an area under the curve of 0.975 in the PC and 0.923 in the EVCs for differentiating RCB III from RCB 0 to II. Model II distinguished RCB 0 to I from RCB II-III, with an area under the curve of 0.976 in the PC and 0.910 in the EVCs. Subgroup analysis confirmed that the AI system was consistent across different clinical T stages and molecular subtypes.

Conclusions: The multitask AI system offers a noninvasive tool for the early prediction of RCB scores in breast cancer, supporting clinical decision-making during NAC.

Publication types

  • Multicenter Study

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Artificial Intelligence*
  • Breast Neoplasms* / diagnostic imaging
  • Breast Neoplasms* / drug therapy
  • Breast Neoplasms* / pathology
  • Chemotherapy, Adjuvant
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Magnetic Resonance Imaging
  • Middle Aged
  • Neoadjuvant Therapy*
  • Neoplasm, Residual*
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Tumor Burden