Proliferation determined by Ki-67 immunohistochemistry has been proposed as a useful prognostic and predictive marker in breast cancer. However, the clinical validity of Ki-67 is questionable. In this study, Ki-67 was retrospectively evaluated by three pathologists using two methods: a visual assessment of the entire slide and a quantitative assessment of the tumour margin in 411 early-stage breast cancer patients with a median follow-up of 26.8 years. We found excellent agreement between the three pathologists for both methods. The risk of recurrence for Ki-67 was time-dependent, as the high proliferation group (Ki-67 ≥ 30%) had a higher risk of recurrence initially, but after 4.5 years the risk was higher in the low proliferation group. In estrogen receptor (ER)-positive patients, the intermediate Ki-67 group initially followed the high Ki-67 group, but eventually followed the low Ki-67 group. ER-positive pN0-1 patients with intermediate Ki-67 treated with endocrine therapy alone had a similar outcome to patients treated with chemotherapy. A cut-off value of 20% appeared to be most appropriate for distinguishing between the high and low Ki-67 groups. To summarize, a simple visual whole slide Ki-67 assessment turned out to be a reliable method for clinical decision-making in early breast cancer patients. We confirmed Ki-67 as an important prognostic and predictive biomarker.
Keywords: Ki-67; MIB-1; S-phase fraction; breast cancer; immunohistochemistry; proliferation.