Identification of BGN positive fibroblasts as a driving factor for colorectal cancer and development of its related prognostic model combined with machine learning

BMC Cancer. 2024 Apr 23;24(1):516. doi: 10.1186/s12885-024-12251-4.

Abstract

Background: Numerous studies have indicated that cancer-associated fibroblasts (CAFs) play a crucial role in the progression of colorectal cancer (CRC). However, there are still many unknowns regarding the exact role of CAF subtypes in CRC.

Methods: The data for this study were obtained from bulk, single-cell, and spatial transcriptomic sequencing data. Bioinformatics analysis, in vitro experiments, and machine learning methods were employed to investigate the functional characteristics of CAF subtypes and construct prognostic models.

Results: Our study demonstrates that Biglycan (BGN) positive cancer-associated fibroblasts (BGN + Fib) serve as a driver in colorectal cancer (CRC). The proportion of BGN + Fib increases gradually with the progression of CRC, and high infiltration of BGN + Fib is associated with poor prognosis in terms of overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) in CRC. Downregulation of BGN expression in cancer-associated fibroblasts (CAFs) significantly reduces migration and proliferation of CRC cells. Among 101 combinations of 10 machine learning algorithms, the StepCox[both] + plsRcox combination was utilized to develop a BGN + Fib derived risk signature (BGNFRS). BGNFRS was identified as an independent adverse prognostic factor for CRC OS and RFS, outperforming 92 previously published risk signatures. A Nomogram model constructed based on BGNFRS and clinical-pathological features proved to be a valuable tool for predicting CRC prognosis.

Conclusion: In summary, our study identified BGN + Fib as drivers of CRC, and the derived BGNFRS was effective in predicting the OS and RFS of CRC patients.

Keywords: Cancer associated fibroblasts (CAFs); Colorectal cancer (CRC); Machine learning; Prognosis.

MeSH terms

  • Biglycan* / genetics
  • Biglycan* / metabolism
  • Biomarkers, Tumor / genetics
  • Biomarkers, Tumor / metabolism
  • Cancer-Associated Fibroblasts* / metabolism
  • Cancer-Associated Fibroblasts* / pathology
  • Cell Movement
  • Cell Proliferation
  • Colorectal Neoplasms* / genetics
  • Colorectal Neoplasms* / metabolism
  • Colorectal Neoplasms* / mortality
  • Colorectal Neoplasms* / pathology
  • Female
  • Gene Expression Regulation, Neoplastic
  • Humans
  • Machine Learning*
  • Male
  • Prognosis
  • Tumor Microenvironment

Substances

  • Biglycan
  • BGN protein, human
  • Biomarkers, Tumor