Comparing survival in trial- versus routine-care advanced urothelial cancer patients on immune checkpoint blockade

Pharmacoepidemiol Drug Saf. 2024 May;33(5):e5798. doi: 10.1002/pds.5798.

Abstract

Purpose: Although recent trials involving first-line immune checkpoint inhibitors have expanded treatment options for patients with advanced urothelial carcinoma (aUC) who are ineligible for standard cisplatin-based chemotherapy, there exists limited evidence for whether trial efficacy translates into real-world effectiveness for patients seen in routine care. This retrospective cohort study compares differences in overall survival (OS) between KEYNOTE-052 trial participants and routine-care patients receiving first-line pembrolizumab monotherapy.

Methods: A routine-care patient cohort was constructed from the Flatiron Health database using trial eligibility criteria and was weighted to balance EHR and trial patient characteristics using matching-adjusted indirect comparisons.

Results: The routine-care cohort was older, more likely to be female, and more often cisplatin-ineligible due to renal dysfunction. ECOG performance status was comparable between the cohorts. Median OS was 9 months (95% CI 7-16) in the weighted routine-care cohort and 11.3 months (9.7-13.1) in the trial cohort. No significant differences between the Kaplan-Meier OS curves were detected (p = 0.76). Survival probabilities were similar between the weighted routine-care and trial cohorts at 12-, 24-, and 36- months (0.45 vs. 0.47, 0.31 vs. 0.31, 0.26 vs. 0.23, respectively). Notably, routine care patients had modestly lower survival at 3 months compared to trial participants (0.69 vs. 0.83, respectively).

Conclusion: Our results provide reassurance that cisplatin-ineligible aUC patients receiving first-line immunotherapy in routine care experience similar benefits to those observed in trial patients.

Keywords: bladder cancer; epidemiology; survival analysis; urothelial cancer.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized* / therapeutic use
  • Carcinoma, Transitional Cell / drug therapy
  • Carcinoma, Transitional Cell / mortality
  • Cohort Studies
  • Databases, Factual
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors* / therapeutic use
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Urinary Bladder Neoplasms / drug therapy
  • Urinary Bladder Neoplasms / mortality
  • Urologic Neoplasms / drug therapy
  • Urologic Neoplasms / mortality

Substances

  • Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors
  • Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized
  • pembrolizumab