A nomogram combining prognostic nutritional index and platelet lymphocyte ratio predicts postoperative pulmonary infection following D2 radical gastrectomy for gastric cancer

Nutr Hosp. 2024 Apr 26. doi: 10.20960/nh.05079. Online ahead of print.

Abstract

Introduction: the prognostic nutritional index (PNI) and platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) have been found to correlate with outcomes following radical gastrectomy for gastric cancer (GC).

Objectives: to construct a nomogram combining PNI and PLR for individually forecasting the risk of postoperative pulmonary infection (POI) following D2 radical gastrectomy for GC.

Methods: retrospectively, clinical data was gathered from 404 patients treated with D2 radical gastrectomy for GC. The study used multivariate logistic regression analysis to screen independent risk factors for POI after surgery. Subsequently, a nomogram was developed based on the above factors to forecast the POI probability accurately.

Results: the multivariate logistic regression analysis identified age, PNI, PLR, CA199 level, ASA score, and ICU treatment as independent risk variables for POI following D2 radical gastrectomy (p < 0.001 or 0.05). The nomogram's area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for predicting the risk of POI was 0.736 (95 % confidence interval (CI) = 0.678-0.794). The nomogram was internally validated using the bootstrap approach, involving repeated sampling 1000 times. The result yielded a concordance index (c-index) of 0.707 (95 % CI = 0.705-0.709). The calibration curves demonstrated an excellent concordance between the predicted values of the nomogram and the observed values. The nomogram's clinical value was shown to be high using decision analysis curves.

Conclusions: a nomogram combining PNI and PLR is a dependable tool for forecasting the probability of POI following D2 radical gastrectomy for GC.