Causal relationship between thyroid dysfunction and gastric cancer: a two-sample Mendelian randomization study

Abstract

Backgroud: Gastric cancer is one of the most common cancers worldwide, and its development is associated with a variety of factors. Previous observational studies have reported that thyroid dysfunction is associated with the development of gastric cancer. However, the exact relationship between the two is currently unclear. We used a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) study to reveal the causal relationship between thyroid dysfunction and gastric cancer for future clinical work.

Materials and methods: This study is based on a two-sample Mendelian randomization design, and all data are from public GWAS databases. We selected hyperthyroidism, hypothyroidism, free thyroxine (FT4), and thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) as exposures, with gastric cancer as the outcome. We used three statistical methods, namely Inverse-variance weighted (IVW), MR-Egger, and weighted median, to assess the causal relationship between thyroid dysfunction and gastric cancer. The Cochran's Q test was used to assess the heterogeneity among SNPs in the IVW analysis results, and MR-PRESSO was employed to identify and remove IVs with heterogeneity from the analysis results. MR-Egger is a weighted linear regression model, and the magnitude of its intercept can be used to assess the horizontal pleiotropy among IVs. Finally, the data were visualized through the leave-one-out sensitivity test to evaluate the influence of individual SNPs on the overall causal effect. Funnel plots were used to assess the symmetry of the selected SNPs, forest plots were used to evaluate the confidence and heterogeneity of the incidental estimates, and scatter plots were used to assess the exposure-outcome relationship. All results were expressed as odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI). P<0.05 represents statistical significance.

Results: According to IVW analysis, there was a causal relationship between hypothyroidism and gastric cancer, and hypothyroidism could reduce the risk of gastric cancer (OR=0.936 (95% CI:0.893-0.980), P=0.006).This means that having hypothyroidism is a protective factor against stomach cancer. This finding suggests that hypothyroidism may be associated with a reduced risk of gastric cancer.Meanwhile, there was no causal relationship between hyperthyroidism, FT4, and TSH and gastric cancer.

Conclusions: In this study, we found a causal relationship between hypothyroidism and gastric cancer with the help of a two-sample Mendelian randomisation study, and hypothyroidism may be associated with a reduced risk of gastric cancer, however, the exact mechanism is still unclear. This finding provides a new idea for the study of the etiology and pathogenesis of gastric cancer, and our results need to be further confirmed by more basic experiments in the future.

Keywords: FT4; Mendelian randomization; TSH; causal relationship; gastric cancer; hyperthyroidism; hypothyroidism.