Objective: Pediatric early warning systems identify patients at risk for deterioration. We aimed to determine if a locally adapted pediatric early warning system [KK hospital early warning score (KEWS)] can distinguish patients who require transfer from general ward to high dependency unit (HDU) or PICU, from those who do not.
Methods: We conducted a retrospective case-control single-center audit. All unplanned general ward to PICU/HDU transfer from January to December 2021 were included as cases. We collected KEWS at the time of transfer and at 2, 4 and 6 hours prior to transfer. Univariate and multivariable logistic regression with imputation analysis were performed to identify variables associated with unplanned PICU/HDU transfer.
Results: There were 784 patients (196 cases and 588 controls). Median age of cases and controls were 3.3 (interquartile range: 1.0-9.7) and 3.9 (0.8-11.3) years, respectively. At the time of transfer, median (interquartile range) KEWS for cases and controls were 3 (0, 4) and 0 (0, 1), respectively (P <.001). At all timepoints, KEWS was able to distinguish between children who did and did not require transfer to HDU/PICU (At time of transfer: area under the curve = 0.80, 95% CI = 0.75-0.85, P <.001). After adjusting for age, category of admission, frequency of ordered monitoring, KEWS predicted HDU/PICU transfer with an odds ratio of 2.34 (95% CI 1.82 to 3.00, P <.001).
Conclusions: KEWS was able to distinguish patients requiring transfer from GW to HDU/PICU from those not needing a transfer.
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