Timing of neuroprognostication in the ICU

Abstract

Purpose of review: Neuroprognostication after acute brain injury (ABI) is complex. In this review, we examine the threats to accurate neuroprognostication, discuss strategies to mitigate the self-fulfilling prophecy, and how to approach the indeterminate prognosis.

Recent findings: The goal of neuroprognostication is to provide a timely and accurate prediction of a patient's neurologic outcome so treatment can proceed in accordance with a patient's values and preferences. Neuroprognostication should be delayed until at least 72 h after injury and/or only when the necessary prognostic data is available to avoid early withdraw life-sustaining treatment on patients who may otherwise survive with a good outcome. Clinicians should be aware of the limitations of available predictors and prognostic models, the role of flawed heuristics and the self-fulfilling prophecy, and the influence of surrogate decision-maker bias on end-of-life decisions.

Summary: The approach to neuroprognostication after ABI should be systematic, use highly reliable multimodal data, and involve experts to minimize the risk of erroneous prediction and perpetuating the self-fulfilling prophecy. Even when such standards are rigorously upheld, the prognosis may be indeterminate. In such cases, clinicians should engage in shared decision-making with surrogates and consider the use of a time-limited trial.