Meta-analysis of genome-wide associations and polygenic risk prediction for atrial fibrillation in more than 180,000 cases

Nat Genet. 2025 Mar;57(3):539-547. doi: 10.1038/s41588-024-02072-3. Epub 2025 Mar 6.

Abstract

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common heart rhythm abnormality and is a leading cause of heart failure and stroke. This large-scale meta-analysis of genome-wide association studies increased the power to detect single-nucleotide variant associations and found more than 350 AF-associated genetic loci. We identified candidate genes related to muscle contractility, cardiac muscle development and cell-cell communication at 139 loci. Furthermore, we assayed chromatin accessibility using assay for transposase-accessible chromatin with sequencing and histone H3 lysine 4 trimethylation in stem cell-derived atrial cardiomyocytes. We observed a marked increase in chromatin accessibility for our sentinel variants and prioritized genes in atrial cardiomyocytes. Finally, a polygenic risk score (PRS) based on our updated effect estimates improved AF risk prediction compared to the CHARGE-AF clinical risk score and a previously reported PRS for AF. The doubling of known risk loci will facilitate a greater understanding of the pathways underlying AF.

Publication types

  • Meta-Analysis

MeSH terms

  • Atrial Fibrillation* / genetics
  • Chromatin / genetics
  • Genetic Predisposition to Disease*
  • Genome-Wide Association Study*
  • Humans
  • Multifactorial Inheritance* / genetics
  • Myocytes, Cardiac / metabolism
  • Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide / genetics
  • Risk Factors

Substances

  • Chromatin

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