Effectiveness of 2023-2024 COVID-19 vaccines against COVID-19-associated hospitalizations among adults aged ≥18 years with end stage kidney disease - United States, September 2023-April 2024

Vaccine. 2025 May 10:55:127010. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2025.127010. Epub 2025 Apr 3.

Abstract

Background: Persons with end stage kidney disease (ESKD) on dialysis are at high risk for severe COVID-19 disease. In September 2023, 2023-2024 COVID-19 vaccination was recommended in the United States for all persons aged ≥6 months. Due to possible immune dysfunction, advanced age, and high prevalence of additional underlying conditions, including immunocompromising conditions, among individuals with ESKD, reduced vaccine effectiveness (VE) is a concern. Understanding effectiveness of 2023-2024 COVID-19 vaccine among persons with ESKD can inform COVID-19 vaccine recommendations for this population.

Methods: A retrospective cohort investigation was conducted among Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries aged ≥18 years with ESKD receiving dialysis using Medicare enrollment and claims records. Follow-up began on September 17, 2023, and continued until the earliest occurrence of claim for a COVID-19-associated outcome, other censoring event, or end of follow-up. A marginal structural Cox model was used to estimate VE (calculated as [1 - hazard ratio]*100 %), interpreted as the benefit of 2023-2024 COVID-19 vaccination compared with no 2023-2024 vaccine dose. VE was estimated by presence of additional immunocompromising conditions, age group, and time since vaccination.

Results: During September 17, 2023 - April 13, 2024, 17,749/112,250 (16 %) Medicare beneficiaries aged ≥18 years with ESKD without additional immunocompromising conditions received a 2023-2024 COVID-19 vaccine dose, with a maximum 209 days of follow-up since vaccination. During the follow-up period 6539 medically attended COVID-19 events, including 3605 COVID-19-associated hospitalizations, 789 COVID-19-associated deaths, and 896 COVID-19-associated thromboembolic events, were recorded. VE against COVID-19-associated hospitalization was 55 % (95 % confidence interval [CI]: 42 % - 65 %) at 7-59 days after vaccination and 47 % (95 % CI: 35 % - 57 %) at ≥60 days after vaccination. VE against COVID-19-associated death was 71 % (95 % CI: 46 % - 84 %) at 7-59 days after vaccination and 51 % (95 % CI: 24 % - 69 %) ≥60 days after vaccination. VE against COVID-19-associated thromboembolic events was 44 % (95 % CI, 24 %, 59 %).

Conclusions: The 2023-2024 COVID-19 vaccines provided protection against COVID-19-associated hospitalization, death, and thromboembolic events among adults with ESKD. These data support the recommendation that adults with ESKD receive the updated COVID-19 vaccine.

Keywords: COVID-19 vaccines; Medicare; Renal dialysis; SARS-CoV-2.

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • COVID-19 Vaccines* / administration & dosage
  • COVID-19 Vaccines* / immunology
  • COVID-19* / epidemiology
  • COVID-19* / prevention & control
  • Female
  • Hospitalization* / statistics & numerical data
  • Humans
  • Kidney Failure, Chronic* / complications
  • Kidney Failure, Chronic* / epidemiology
  • Kidney Failure, Chronic* / therapy
  • Male
  • Medicare
  • Middle Aged
  • Renal Dialysis
  • Retrospective Studies
  • SARS-CoV-2 / immunology
  • United States / epidemiology
  • Vaccination
  • Vaccine Efficacy*
  • Young Adult

Substances

  • COVID-19 Vaccines