Identification of predictors for lymph node metastasis in T2 colorectal cancer: retrospective cohort study from a high-volume hospital

BMC Cancer. 2025 Apr 15;25(1):700. doi: 10.1186/s12885-025-14104-0.

Abstract

Background: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the most prevalent malignant tumor of the digestive system globally, ranking third in incidence and second in mortality. In previous studies, the rate of lymph node metastasis (LNM) in T2 CRC ranged from 18.0 to 28.0%. We aim to identify T2 CRC patients without LNM and thereby mitigate the complications and potential impact on the quality of life associated with surgery.

Methods: In this retrospective study, 787 cases with T2 CRC were selected. The preoperative and postoperative clinicopathological features were retrospectively studied. Univariate analysis and multivariate analysis were performed using binary logistic regression to determine the predictive factor for LNM. Odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were conducted.

Results: 184 (23.4%) patients were diagnosed with LNM, including 144 (78.3%) patients with N1stage and 40 (21.7%) patients with N2 stage. According to univariate analysis and multivariate analysis, poorly differentiated tumors (p = 0.003, OR = 4.405, 95%CI: 1.632-11.893), perineural invasion (p = 0.001, OR = 4.789, 95%CI: 1.958-11.716), and lymphovascular invasion (p = 0.001, OR = 2.779, 95%CI: 1.497-5.159) were independent risk factors of LNM, while male (p = 0.017, OR = 0.652, 95%CI: 0.459-0.926) and elevated preoperative PLR (p = 0.048, OR = 0.996, 95%CI: 0.993-1.000) seemed to be independent protective factors. Larger tumor size did not show significant association with LNM.

Conclusions: Approximately three-quarters of T2 CRC patients are likely to avoid unnecessary surgery. Female, poorly differentiated tumors, perineural invasion, and lymphovascular invasion are expected to be used as predictors of LNM in T2 CRC.

Keywords: Colorectal cancer; Lymph node metastasis; Predictors; Risk factors; T2 stage.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Colorectal Neoplasms* / pathology
  • Colorectal Neoplasms* / surgery
  • Female
  • Hospitals, High-Volume / statistics & numerical data
  • Humans
  • Lymph Nodes* / pathology
  • Lymphatic Metastasis* / pathology
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Neoplasm Staging
  • Prognosis
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Factors