Background: Inter-individual variability in tau topography challenges the propagation hypothesis of tau aggregates.
Methods: To address this gap, we propose the Manifold Component Analysis (MCA), for identifying pseudo-continuous profiles informed by the spatial continuity of stage regions.
Results: Longitudinal and cross-sectional MCA in large aging cohort identified individual profiles (N = 753) expressing tau load in the entorhinal, limbic and neocortical regions. Using these profiles, we found neuropsychological and blood-based milestones of early and late disease stages. Finally, we also found evidence of rapid tau load increases and cognitive decline centered at the early-to-mid neocortical stages of Alzheimer's disease.
Conclusions: Stage system based on tau load and spreading profiles across cortical areas provide a compelling framework for inferring pathophysiological prognosis in Alzheimer's disease.
Keywords: 18F-MK6240 PET; Alzheimer’s disease; Component analysis; Dimensionality reduction; Neurofibrillary tangles; PET braak staging; Propagation; Tau.
© 2025. The Author(s).