Risk Analysis Index Versus Modified Frailty Index: Outcomes After Otolaryngologic Surgery

Laryngoscope. 2025 Dec;135(12):4655-4663. doi: 10.1002/lary.32408. Epub 2025 Aug 1.

Abstract

Objective: Patient frailty negatively impacts postsurgical outcomes across multiple specialties. Commonly used frailty scoring systems include the Modified 5-Item Frailty Index (MFI-5) and the Clinical Risk Analysis Index (RAI-C). We compared these frailty indices in predicting postsurgical outcomes in otolaryngology, a comparison that has never been completed to date.

Methods: Retrospective chart review of patients undergoing otolaryngologic surgery at a quaternary care medical center (2022-2024) with an RAI-C score available for analysis. Chi-square analysis and ROC curves were utilized to determine associations and predictive ability of each scoring system.

Results: Among 1209 patients, 21% met MFI-5 frailty criteria (MFI-5 score > 1), and 23% met RAI-C frailty criteria (RAI-C score > 30). The Pearson correlation coefficient between MFI-5 and RAI-C was 0.481 (95% CI [0.43, 0.53]), indicating a moderate correlation between the two metrics. Patients deemed frail by RAI-C had 5.7 times higher odds of experiencing a postoperative complication than non-frail counterparts (95% CI [3.51, 9.28], p < 0.0001), but MFI-5 frailty status was not associated with postoperative complications. Both RAI-C and MFI-5 demonstrated significant predictive ability for 30-day readmission (AUC 0.77, 95% CI [0.64, 0.89] vs. AUC 0.76, 95% CI [0.61, 0.88]), respectively. When compared to MFI-5, RAI-C had greater predictive performance for all other postoperative outcomes in this study.

Conclusion: RAI-C outperformed MFI-5 in predicting postoperative outcomes in patients undergoing otolaryngologic surgeries. RAI-C assessment should be considered in frailty research, multidisciplinary treatment planning, and managing patient expectations and outcomes.

Keywords: MFI‐5; RAI‐C; frailty; postoperative complications; surgical outcomes.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Female
  • Frailty* / complications
  • Frailty* / diagnosis
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Otorhinolaryngologic Surgical Procedures* / adverse effects
  • Postoperative Complications* / epidemiology
  • Postoperative Complications* / etiology
  • ROC Curve
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment / methods