Effectiveness of 13-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine Against Pneumonia Hospitalization Among Medicare Beneficiaries Aged ≥65 Years in Long-Term Care

J Infect Dis. 2025 Dec 20;232(6):e953-e961. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiaf405.

Abstract

Background: Pneumonia causes high rates of hospitalization among adults living in long-term care (LTC) facilities and is a major cause of mortality in this population. Since 2014, pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) have been recommended for US adults aged ≥65 years; however, effectiveness of PCVs against all-cause pneumonia hospitalization among adults living in LTC remains unclear.

Methods: We used Medicare Fee-for-Service claims data to construct an open cohort of beneficiaries aged ≥65 years between September 2014 and December 2019. We estimated 13-valent PCV (PCV13) vaccine effectiveness (VE) by comparing rates of pneumonia hospitalization among PCV13-exposed and PCV13-unexposed time during LTC stays. Discrete-time logistic regression models with generalized estimating equations were used to estimate VE, incorporating time-varying exposures and covariates.

Results: Among 3 485 071 beneficiaries meeting the eligibility criteria, the proportion vaccinated with PCV13 increased from 1.1% to 52.7% during the study period. The characteristics of beneficiaries with shorter LTC stays differed from those with longer LTC stays: a lower proportion of beneficiaries aged ≥85 years (LTC stay ≤100 vs >100 days: 38.5% vs 48.2%), but a higher proportion with chronic medical conditions (71.4% vs 66.4%), immunocompromising conditions (36.6% vs 25.2%), and recent hospitalizations (84.1% vs 74.7%). Vaccine effectiveness of PCV13 only against all-cause pneumonia hospitalization was 3.8% (95% CI 2.4%-5.2%) overall: 5.6% (3.9%-7.2%) for LTC stays ≤100 days and 0.3% (-2.1%-2.77%) for LTC stays >100 days.

Conclusions: 13-Valent PCV reduced the risk of pneumonia hospitalization among this population. Differences in beneficiary characteristics could explain differences in VE by length of LTC stay.

Keywords: long-term care; pneumococcal disease; pneumonia; vaccines.

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Female
  • Hospitalization* / statistics & numerical data
  • Humans
  • Long-Term Care* / statistics & numerical data
  • Male
  • Medicare / statistics & numerical data
  • Pneumococcal Vaccines* / administration & dosage
  • Pneumococcal Vaccines* / immunology
  • Pneumonia, Pneumococcal* / prevention & control
  • United States / epidemiology
  • Vaccination / statistics & numerical data
  • Vaccine Efficacy*
  • Vaccines, Conjugate

Substances

  • Pneumococcal Vaccines
  • 13-valent pneumococcal vaccine
  • Vaccines, Conjugate