Impact of Time to Surgery Post Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy on Breast Cancer Outcomes: A Retrospective Study of Patients Enrolled in the I-SPY 2 Clinical Trial

Ann Surg Oncol. 2025 Oct;32(11):8113-8126. doi: 10.1245/s10434-025-17933-2. Epub 2025 Aug 23.

Abstract

Background: Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) is widely used to treat high-risk breast cancer. However, the optimal time to surgery (TTS) following NAC remains undefined. This study investigates the impact of TTS on oncologic outcomes using the I-SPY 2 Trial cohort.

Methods: A retrospective analysis of 1877 patients with breast cancer enrolled in the I-SPY 2 Trial was performed. Patients were grouped by TTS post-NAC: 1-4 weeks, 5 weeks, 6-8 weeks, and 9 + weeks. Baseline demographic, clinical, imaging, and treatment response data were collected. Event-free survival (EFS) and local recurrence-free interval (LRFI) were evaluated using Kaplan-Meier analyses and Cox models. Subgroup analyses were performed by tumor receptor subtypes (hormone receptor [HR]+ human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 [HER2]-, HER2 +, and triple-negative breast cancer [TNBC]) and residual cancer burden (RCB) class.

Results: Among 1877 patients, 526 (28.0%) underwent surgery between 1-4 weeks, 425 (22.6%) at 5 weeks, 490 (26.1%) between 6-8 weeks, and 436 (23.2%) at 9+ weeks post-NAC. Prolonged TTS was associated with worse 5-year EFS and LRFI on Kaplan-Meier analysis (p < 0.001 for both). Delays particularly affected outcomes in patients with HR+/HER2- and TNBC tumors. In patients with RCB class II/III, a TTS of 9+ weeks was independently associated with worse EFS (hazard ratio [HR] 2.04, p = 0.001) and LRFI (HR 2.77, p = 0.005). Conversely, in patients with a pathologic complete response/RCB class I, delayed surgery did not significantly impact outcomes.

Conclusions: TTS of 9+ weeks following NAC is independently associated with worse oncologic outcomes, especially in patients with TNBC and HR+/HER2- tumors and high residual disease.

Keywords: Breast cancer; Neoadjuvant chemotherapy; Oncologic outcomes; Residual cancer burden; Time to surgery.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols* / therapeutic use
  • Breast Neoplasms* / drug therapy
  • Breast Neoplasms* / metabolism
  • Breast Neoplasms* / pathology
  • Breast Neoplasms* / surgery
  • Chemotherapy, Adjuvant
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Humans
  • Mastectomy* / mortality
  • Middle Aged
  • Neoadjuvant Therapy* / mortality
  • Neoplasm Recurrence, Local* / drug therapy
  • Neoplasm Recurrence, Local* / pathology
  • Neoplasm Recurrence, Local* / surgery
  • Prognosis
  • Receptor, ErbB-2 / metabolism
  • Receptors, Estrogen / metabolism
  • Receptors, Progesterone / metabolism
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Survival Rate
  • Time-to-Treatment*
  • Triple Negative Breast Neoplasms* / drug therapy
  • Triple Negative Breast Neoplasms* / metabolism
  • Triple Negative Breast Neoplasms* / pathology
  • Triple Negative Breast Neoplasms* / surgery

Substances

  • Receptor, ErbB-2
  • Receptors, Estrogen
  • Receptors, Progesterone
  • ERBB2 protein, human