Trends in non-coeliac gluten/wheat sensitivity: a self-managed problem?

Scand J Gastroenterol. 2025 Oct;60(10):949-957. doi: 10.1080/00365521.2025.2554346. Epub 2025 Sep 3.

Abstract

Introduction: Self-reported non-coeliac gluten/wheat sensitivity (NCGWS) is triggered by gluten/wheat ingestion in patients without coeliac disease (CD) or wheat allergy. Following the COVID-19 pandemic, diagnoses of NCGWS appear to have declined. A gluten/wheat-free diet (GFD) remains the only management approach, though long-term adherence and outcomes are unclear. This study aimed to evaluate market trends and the long-term GFD adherence in NCGWS. Secondary objectives included evaluating perceived GFD efficacy and the need for further healthcare advice.

Methods: We analyzed UK market data on gluten-free (GF) product sales through September 2024 and shopper insights through July 2021. Additionally, patients with self-reported NCGWS diagnosed between 2006 and 2018 at a tertiary center completed a follow-up questionnaire about their dietary habits and further need of medical advice. GFD adherence was assessed using the Biagi score and compared with a matched cohort of CD patients.

Results: Market analysis showed a continued rise in GF product sales, from £214 m in 2014 to £607 m in 2024. NCGWS patients represented 9.7% of buyers. Of 186 patients, 111 completed the questionnaire. Compared to CD patients, those with NCGWS had significantly lower GFD adherence (Biagi score 0-1: NCGWS 73.9% vs. CD 8.1%; score 3-4: NCGWS 24.3% vs. CD 90.1%; p < 0.05). After discharge, 36% (n = 40) sought further medical advice, with no significant link between GFD adherence and need for intervention.

Conclusions: Although previous data suggests a drop in referrals to secondary care, up to 9.7% of our people are eating GF to treat self-reported NCGWS. The long-term GFD adherence is poor.

Keywords: Non-coeliac gluten sensitivity; follow-up; gluten sensitivity; gluten-free diet; gluten-free diet adherence; gluten-free market; wheat sensitivity.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • COVID-19 / epidemiology
  • Celiac Disease
  • Diet, Gluten-Free* / statistics & numerical data
  • Diet, Gluten-Free* / trends
  • Female
  • Glutens* / adverse effects
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Patient Compliance* / statistics & numerical data
  • SARS-CoV-2
  • Self Report
  • Self-Management*
  • Surveys and Questionnaires
  • United Kingdom / epidemiology
  • Wheat Hypersensitivity* / diet therapy
  • Wheat Hypersensitivity* / epidemiology

Substances

  • Glutens