Histological disease progression in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease using paired liver biopsy

Eur J Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2026 Jan 1;38(1):76-81. doi: 10.1097/MEG.0000000000003076. Epub 2025 Sep 17.

Abstract

Background and aims: The aims of the present study were to assess the histological evolution of patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) using paired liver biopsies, identify the factors associated with fibrosis and clinical disease progression, and determine the relationship between histological progression and clinical outcomes.

Methods: This was a single-center study. A total of 114 patients with MASLD who had at least two liver biopsies were included in the analysis.

Results: From baseline to follow-up biopsy, 44% of patients showed histological progression. Fibrosis progressed in 28 patients, regressed in 21, and showed no change in 65. The proportion of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) increased from 83% to 90%, with 95% of MASH patients remaining MASH and 70% of MASL patients fulfilling MASH criteria at follow-up biopsy. Among MASL patients with progression, 87% had lobular inflammation at baseline. During the median follow-up of 10 years, half of the patients with MASLD showed clinical progression, with 73% having MASH at baseline. No new metabolic abnormality developed in patients with MASL who maintained MASL status at follow-up. Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that baseline hypertension (Odds Ratio [OR]: 2.611, p = 0.024) and high serum ALT levels (OR: 2.815, p = 0.049) were predictors of clinical progression in patients with MASLD.

Conclusions: Patients with MASLD, MASL, and MASH, exhibit disease progression. Hypertension and baseline abnormal liver injury test results are predictors of clinical disease progression in patients with MASLD.

Keywords: liver fibrosis; metabolic dysfunction–associated steatohepatitis; metabolic dysfunction–associated steatotic liver disease; nonalcoholic fatty liver disease; nonalcoholic steatohepatitis.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Biopsy
  • Disease Progression
  • Fatty Liver* / etiology
  • Fatty Liver* / pathology
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Hypertension / complications
  • Liver Cirrhosis* / etiology
  • Liver Cirrhosis* / pathology
  • Liver* / pathology
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Factors
  • Time Factors