Machine Learning-Based Prognostic Model for Gastric Cancer Using Integrated Multi-Omics Data

Cancer Invest. 2025 Oct;43(9):834-846. doi: 10.1080/07357907.2025.2575909. Epub 2025 Oct 20.

Abstract

Gastric cancer (GC) prognosis remains suboptimally defined by conventional clinicopathological parameters, necessitating integrative multi-omics approaches to unravel molecular heterogeneity. This study established a robust multi-omics prognostic framework through synergistic analysis of transcriptomic, epigenomic, and clinical data from 108 GC patients. Genome-wide expression profiling and methylation array analysis identified 1,243 survival-associated transcripts and 8,742 prognostic CpG sites, with cross-omics integration via similarity network fusion revealing three molecular subtypes exhibiting distinct clinical trajectories. The aggressive Subtype 3 demonstrated a 2.87-fold increased mortality risk compared to the favorable Subtype 1, independent of age and tumor stage. A LASSO-derived prognostic signature integrating eight gene expression markers, nine methylation loci, and three clinical parameters achieved superior discrimination (C-index: 0.786 [95% CI: 0.748-0.824], compared to 0.687-0.752 in unimodal models) and 19-28% improvement in time-dependent AUC metrics. The multi-optimized nomogram incorporating molecular risk scores with conventional predictors demonstrated strong calibration (slope 0.967) and clinical utility across validation cohorts (C-index 0.742), significantly outperforming existing stratification systems. Functional characterization revealed subtype-specific enrichment in cell cycle dysregulation and immune evasion pathways, obtaining CDK/PI3K inhibitors as potential therapeutic targets. These findings establish multi-omics integration as a novel strategy for prognostic refinement and precision therapy guidance in GC.

Keywords: Gastric cancer; Gene expression; Methylation; Molecular subtypes; Multi-omics integration; Prognostic biomarker.

Publication types

  • Evaluation Study
  • Validation Study

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Antineoplastic Agents / pharmacology
  • Antineoplastic Agents / therapeutic use
  • Cell Cycle / drug effects
  • Cell Cycle / genetics
  • Cyclin-Dependent Kinases / antagonists & inhibitors
  • Cyclin-Dependent Kinases / metabolism
  • DNA Methylation
  • Dinucleoside Phosphates / genetics
  • Epigenomics / methods
  • Female
  • Gene Expression Profiling / methods
  • Gene Expression Regulation, Neoplastic
  • Humans
  • Kaplan-Meier Estimate
  • Machine Learning*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Multiomics* / methods
  • Neoplasm Staging
  • Nomograms*
  • Phosphatidylinositol 3-Kinases / metabolism
  • Phosphoinositide-3 Kinase Inhibitors / pharmacology
  • Phosphoinositide-3 Kinase Inhibitors / therapeutic use
  • Precision Medicine
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Stomach Neoplasms* / drug therapy
  • Stomach Neoplasms* / genetics
  • Stomach Neoplasms* / mortality
  • Stomach Neoplasms* / pathology
  • Tumor Escape / drug effects
  • Tumor Escape / genetics

Substances

  • CpG dinucleotide
  • Dinucleoside Phosphates
  • Phosphatidylinositol 3-Kinases
  • Phosphoinositide-3 Kinase Inhibitors
  • Cyclin-Dependent Kinases
  • Antineoplastic Agents