Sex difference patterns in the association of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol with disease risk and all-cause mortality: A nationwide retrospective cohort study

J Clin Lipidol. 2025 Nov-Dec;19(6):1646-1656. doi: 10.1016/j.jacl.2025.09.004. Epub 2025 Sep 8.

Abstract

Background: The relationship between baseline low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels and mortality risk is complex, with both high and low LDL-C levels linked to increased mortality risk. Addressing sex differences in this association has gained attention in clinical practice; nonetheless, the interplay between LDL-C levels, mortality risk, and sex remains unclear.

Objective: To investigate sex differences in baseline LDL-C levels and their association with all-cause mortality and disease risk.

Methods: Data from the Japan Medical Data Center claims database (January 1, 2005 to April 30, 2021) were analyzed. This study included 3,898,594 individuals without a history of cardiovascular or cerebrovascular disease or lipid-lowering medication use. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality, with secondary outcomes including myocardial infarction, heart failure, ischemic stroke, cerebral hemorrhage, and malignancy incidence.

Results: At lower LDL-C levels (<50 mg/dL), all-cause mortality exhibited a stronger sex dependency, with a hazard ratio of 2.16 (95% CI, 1.19-3.91) for males compared with females. While males with higher LDL-C levels had a greater risk of myocardial infarction, those with an LDL-C level <50 mg/dL showed higher risks of heart failure, ischemic stroke, and hemorrhagic stroke than those shown by females.

Conclusion: The association between LDL-C levels and cardiovascular disease risk varies by sex and risk type. These findings emphasize the need for nuanced interpretation of sex differences in LDL-C levels to guide risk assessment, as well as the need to account for population-specific heterogeneity.

Keywords: Cardiovascular disease risk; LDL paradox; Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol; Mortality; Sex differences.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Cardiovascular Diseases* / blood
  • Cardiovascular Diseases* / mortality
  • Cholesterol, LDL* / blood
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Japan / epidemiology
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Factors
  • Sex Characteristics*
  • Sex Factors

Substances

  • Cholesterol, LDL