A prognostic signature for lung adenocarcinoma in patients who have never smoked

Cancer Discov. 2025 Oct 30. doi: 10.1158/2159-8290.CD-25-0581. Online ahead of print.

Abstract

Understanding tumor cell dynamics can improve prognosis and treatment but remains limited for lung adenocarcinoma in people who have never smoked (NS-LUAD). With RNA-seq data from 684 NS-LUAD and validation in an independent dataset, we identified three subtypes with distinct phenotypic traits and cell compositions. Additional genomic and histological data further characterized the subtypes. 'Steady', marked by low proliferation, high alveolar cell fraction, moderate-to-well differentiation, and fewer driver genes' alterations, is linked to prolonged survival and low immune evasion. 'Proliferative' shows high proliferation markers, TP53 mutations, and gene fusions. 'Chaotic', with high epithelial-to-mesenchymal transition markers, has the worst prognosis even within stage I tumors. Lacking known molecular or histological characteristics, this aggressive subtype is solely identified by transcriptomic data. A 60-gene signature recapitulates the classification and predicts survival even within subgroups based on tumor stage or known genomic features, emphasizing its potential for improving early-stage NS-LUAD prognostication in clinical settings.