Prognostic Value of a Coronary Computed Tomography Angiography-Derived Ischemia Algorithm: Comparison Against Hybrid Coronary Computed Tomography Angiography/Positron Emission Tomography Imaging

J Am Heart Assoc. 2025 Nov 18;14(22):e040726. doi: 10.1161/JAHA.124.040726. Epub 2025 Nov 6.

Abstract

Background: Artificial intelligence-guided quantitative computed tomography ischemia (AI-QCTischemia) is a novel machine-learning method for predicting myocardial ischemia from coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA). This observational cohort study aimed to compare the long-term prognostic value of AI-QCTischemia with hybrid CCTA/positron emission tomography (PET) myocardial perfusion imaging in suspected coronary artery disease (CAD).

Methods: Symptomatic patients with suspected CAD underwent CCTA with selective downstream PET to detect ischemic CAD. Blinded reanalysis of CCTA images was done using the AI-QCTischemia algorithm, providing a binary result (normal versus abnormal).

Results: In the full analysis set (n=2271), hybrid CCTA/PET imaging was successful in 94% of the patients and AI-QCTischemia evaluation was feasible in 83%, resulting in a per-protocol set of 1772 patients (19% with ischemic CAD on hybrid CCTA/PET and 25% with abnormal AI-QCTischemia). There was moderate-to-substantial agreement between the methods (Cohen's κ=0.61). During a median follow-up of 7.0 years, 177 (10%) patients experienced the composite end point of all-cause death, myocardial infarction, or unstable angina. Ischemic CAD on hybrid CCTA/PET was predictive of the composite end point (hazard ratio [HR], 2.35 [95% CI, 1.62-3.40]; P<0.001), after adjustment for clinical variables and early (6-month) myocardial revascularization. Similarly, an abnormal (ischemic) AI-QCTischemia result was independently predictive of adverse outcomes (adjusted HR, 1.98 [95% CI, 1.39-2.80]; P<0.001). The adjusted models, including either hybrid CCTA/PET or AI-QCTischemia, demonstrated similar discriminative ability (C-index 0.734 versus 0.729; P=0.53).

Conclusions: The AI-QCTischemia algorithm demonstrated long-term prognostic value comparable to hybrid CCTA/PET perfusion imaging in suspected CAD.

Keywords: artificial intelligence; coronary computed tomography angiography; myocardial perfusion imaging; positron emission tomography; prognosis.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study
  • Observational Study

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Algorithms*
  • Computed Tomography Angiography* / methods
  • Coronary Angiography* / methods
  • Coronary Artery Disease* / diagnostic imaging
  • Coronary Artery Disease* / mortality
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Machine Learning
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Myocardial Ischemia* / diagnostic imaging
  • Myocardial Perfusion Imaging* / methods
  • Positron-Emission Tomography*
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Prognosis