Efficacy, Immunogenicity, and Safety of Modified mRNA Influenza Vaccine

N Engl J Med. 2025 Nov 20;393(20):2001-2011. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa2416779.

Abstract

Background: Influenza remains a major health burden despite the use of licensed vaccines. Nucleoside-modified messenger RNA (modRNA) influenza vaccines have shown promising immunogenicity against influenza and an acceptable safety profile in a phase 1-2 trial.

Methods: In this phase 3 trial, we randomly assigned healthy adults between the ages of 18 and 64 years to receive either a quadrivalent modRNA influenza vaccine (modRNA group) or a licensed inactivated quadrivalent influenza vaccine (control group) during the 2022-2023 influenza season in the United States, South Africa, and the Philippines. The primary end point was relative efficacy, defined by the reduction in the percentage of participants with laboratory-confirmed influenza associated with influenza-like illness at least 14 days after vaccination with the modRNA vaccine, as compared with the control vaccine, and analyzed for noninferiority and superiority. Immunogenicity was evaluated by means of a hemagglutination inhibition (HAI) assay. We assessed reactogenicity within 7 days after vaccination, adverse events through 1 month, and serious adverse events through 6 months. We assessed vaccine efficacy, immunogenicity, and safety in the modRNA group.

Results: A total of 18,476 participants underwent randomization: 9225 were assigned to receive the modRNA vaccine and 9251 to receive the control vaccine. The relative efficacy of the modRNA vaccine as compared with the control vaccine against influenza-like illness was 34.5% (95% confidence interval [CI], 7.4 to 53.9) on the basis of 57 cases in the modRNA group and 87 cases in the control group, a finding that met the criteria for both noninferiority and superiority. Cases of influenza-like illness were caused by A/H3N2 and A/H1N1 strains but almost no B strains. The noninferiority of the antibody response on HAI assay was shown for influenza A strains but not for B strains. Primarily mild or moderate reactogenicity was observed in both vaccine groups but was reported more frequently in the modRNA group (overall local reactions, 70.1% vs. 43.1%; overall systemic events, 65.8% vs. 48.7%). Fever occurred in 5.6% of the participants in the modRNA group and in 1.7% of those in the control group. Adverse event profiles were similar in the two groups.

Conclusions: The modRNA vaccine had statistically superior efficacy over the control vaccine, with greater immune responses to A/H3N2 and A/H1N1 strains, but was associated with more reactogenicity events. (Funded by Pfizer; C4781004 ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT05540522.)See also in NEJM Evidence: Human clinical trial of a nucleoside-modified mRNA influenza vaccine.

Publication types

  • Clinical Trial, Phase III
  • Equivalence Trial
  • Multicenter Study

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Antibodies, Viral / blood
  • Female
  • Fever / chemically induced
  • Fever / epidemiology
  • Fever / immunology
  • Healthy Volunteers
  • Hemagglutination Inhibition Tests
  • Humans
  • Immunogenicity, Vaccine*
  • Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype / immunology
  • Influenza A Virus, H3N2 Subtype / immunology
  • Influenza Vaccines* / administration & dosage
  • Influenza Vaccines* / adverse effects
  • Influenza Vaccines* / immunology
  • Influenza, Human* / blood
  • Influenza, Human* / immunology
  • Influenza, Human* / prevention & control
  • Influenza, Human* / virology
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Vaccine Efficacy*
  • Vaccines, Inactivated / administration & dosage
  • Vaccines, Inactivated / adverse effects
  • Vaccines, Inactivated / immunology
  • Vaccines, Synthetic / administration & dosage
  • Vaccines, Synthetic / adverse effects
  • Vaccines, Synthetic / immunology
  • Young Adult
  • mRNA Vaccines* / administration & dosage
  • mRNA Vaccines* / adverse effects
  • mRNA Vaccines* / immunology

Substances

  • Antibodies, Viral
  • Influenza Vaccines
  • mRNA Vaccines
  • Vaccines, Inactivated
  • Vaccines, Synthetic

Associated data

  • ClinicalTrials.gov/NCT05540522

Grants and funding