HPV circulating tumor DNA to monitor response to pembrolizumab and vorinostat combination in patients with advanced HPV-related squamous-cell carcinomas

ESMO Open. 2026 Jan;11(1):106024. doi: 10.1016/j.esmoop.2025.106024. Epub 2025 Dec 29.

Abstract

Background: Limited data are available on the role of human papillomavirus circulating tumor DNA (HPV-ctDNA) as a pharmacodynamic marker to monitor the response to treatment in the recurrent/metastatic (R/M) setting. Our study aimed to investigate the sensitivity and pharmacodynamic value of HPV-ctDNA levels during treatment in patients with R/M HPV-related squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) treated with pembrolizumab in combination with vorinostat (PEVO trial, NCT04357873).

Materials and methods: Plasma samples were prospectively collected from 57 patients with HPV-related SCC before treatment initiation and every 6 weeks until disease progression. HPV-ctDNA was quantified by droplet digital PCR. The levels before treatment were analyzed according to the patient and tumor characteristics. Landmark analyses were carried out to study the association between dynamic changes in HPV-ctDNA and progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), and overall response rate (ORR).

Results: HPV-ctDNA was detected before treatment in all patients (n = 57) with HPV-related SCC. HPV-ctDNA levels correlated with the number of HPV copies in tumor tissue (P < 0.001). Higher levels of HPV-ctDNA in plasma samples were observed in anal cancer than in other tumor types (P < 0.001), and in patients with distant metastases with or without locoregional recurrence than in patients with locoregional recurrence alone (P = 0.02). The increase in HPV-ctDNA levels during treatment was associated with a lower ORR (P = 0.01) and shorter PFS and OS (both P = 0.01).

Conclusion: These findings reveal that dynamic HPV-ctDNA variation levels during treatment have a pharmacodynamic value and may help monitor treatment response in patients with advanced HPV-related SCC from different locations.

Keywords: HPV; biomarker; circulating tumor DNA; immunotherapy; pharmacodynamic; squamous cell carcinoma.

Publication types

  • Clinical Trial, Phase II
  • Multicenter Study

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized* / administration & dosage
  • Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized* / pharmacology
  • Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized* / therapeutic use
  • Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols* / therapeutic use
  • Carcinoma, Squamous Cell* / blood
  • Carcinoma, Squamous Cell* / drug therapy
  • Carcinoma, Squamous Cell* / mortality
  • Carcinoma, Squamous Cell* / virology
  • Circulating Tumor DNA* / blood
  • DNA, Viral / blood
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Papillomaviridae* / genetics
  • Papillomavirus Infections* / complications
  • Papillomavirus Infections* / drug therapy
  • Papillomavirus Infections* / virology
  • Prospective Studies
  • Vorinostat* / administration & dosage
  • Vorinostat* / pharmacology
  • Vorinostat* / therapeutic use

Substances

  • Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized
  • Circulating Tumor DNA
  • DNA, Viral
  • pembrolizumab
  • Vorinostat

Associated data

  • ClinicalTrials.gov/NCT04357873