Genetic relationships between the gut microbiota and prostate cancer: Mendelian randomization combined with bioinformatics analysis

Aging Male. 2026 Dec 31;29(1):2615561. doi: 10.1080/13685538.2026.2615561. Epub 2026 Jan 14.

Abstract

Background: Prostate cancer (PCa) is a leading cause of male cancer-related death globally. While the gut microbiota is linked to PCa, its genetic association remains unclear.

Methods: We screened genetic instruments related to the gut microbiota and paired them with PCa genome-wide association study data to conduct Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis. Positive MR findings were then subjected to colocalization analysis. Subsequently, we utilized the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) dataset to perform differential expression analysis, aiming to identify differentially expressed associated genes (DEAGs). We determined the importance scores of these DEAGs through four machine learning models and constructed a nomogram based on these findings, and then validated it in another group of the GEO dataset.

Results: MR analysis found 16 gut bacteria causally linked to PCa (7 risk, 9 protective), with 144 related genes. PLCL1, VSNL1, ROR2, NRXN3, and TEAD1 were identified as feature genes for constructing a nomogram that provides a quantitative prediction of the risk of PCa onset.

Conclusions: This study indicates that there are causal links between the gut microbiota and PCa. Feature genes may affect the occurrence of PCa by inhibiting the epithelial-mesenchymal transition, proliferation, migration, and invasion of cells.

Keywords: Mendelian randomization; Prostate cancer; bioinformatics; gut microbiota; machine learning.

MeSH terms

  • Computational Biology
  • Gastrointestinal Microbiome* / genetics
  • Genome-Wide Association Study
  • Humans
  • Machine Learning
  • Male
  • Mendelian Randomization Analysis
  • Nomograms
  • Prostatic Neoplasms* / genetics
  • Prostatic Neoplasms* / microbiology