Climatic and governance determinants of malaria transmission in Rivers State, Nigeria

Sci Rep. 2026 Jan 17;16(1):5459. doi: 10.1038/s41598-026-35029-z.

¹ Department of Environmental Health Science, Federal University of Technology, Owerri, Imo State, Nigeria.
² Department of Animal and Environmental Biology, University of Portharcourt, Port Harcourt, Rivers State, Nigeria.
³ Department of Statistics, Federal University of Technology, Owerri, Imo State, Nigeria.
⁴ Department of Statistics, Federal University of Technology, Owerri, Imo State, Nigeria. barthold@myumanitoba.ca.
⁵ College of Community and Global Health, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, MB, Canada. barthold@myumanitoba.ca.
⁶ Department of Mathematics, Federal University of Technology, Owerri, Imo State, Nigeria.
⁷ Biology Department, Federal University Otuoke, Otuoke, Bayelsa State, Nigeria.
⁸ Department of Environmental Management, Federal University of Technology, Owerri, Imo State, Nigeria.

No abstract available

Keywords: Governance; Malaria; Meteorological factors; Model validation; Predictive modeling; Rivers state; SARIMAX.