Neoadjuvant ipilimumab plus nivolumab in melanoma: 5-year survival and biomarker analysis from the phase 2 PRADO-trial

Nat Med. 2026 Mar;32(3):952-963. doi: 10.1038/s41591-025-04158-9. Epub 2026 Jan 28.

Abstract

Neoadjuvant ipilimumab plus nivolumab has become standard therapy for stage III melanoma based on the NADINA trial, although long-term data are lacking. In the phase 2 PRADO cohort of OpACIN-neo, 99 patients with stage III macroscopic melanoma received this regimen. Here we report first-time 5-year survival data: 71% event-free survival, 74% relapse-free survival, 79% distant metastasis-free survival and 86% overall survival. Ongoing grade 1-2 immune-related adverse events occurred in 69% of patients alive, predominantly vitiligo and hypothyroidism. Major pathologic response (MPR), high tumor mutational burden (TMB), high interferon-gamma (IFNγ) signature and programmed cell death ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression of 1% or higher were associated with favorable outcomes. Combined high TMB, IFNγ and PD-L1 expression yielded 100% MPR and 100% 5-year event-free survival, whereas triple low expression had only 18% MPR and 41% event-free survival. Our findings demonstrate favorable long-term outcomes for patients with an MPR and identify IFNγ and PD-L1 as promising baseline biomarkers. ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT02977052 .

Publication types

  • Clinical Trial, Phase II

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols* / adverse effects
  • Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols* / therapeutic use
  • B7-H1 Antigen / genetics
  • Biomarkers, Tumor* / genetics
  • Biomarkers, Tumor* / metabolism
  • Disease-Free Survival
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Interferon-gamma / genetics
  • Ipilimumab* / administration & dosage
  • Ipilimumab* / adverse effects
  • Ipilimumab* / therapeutic use
  • Male
  • Melanoma* / drug therapy
  • Melanoma* / genetics
  • Melanoma* / mortality
  • Melanoma* / pathology
  • Middle Aged
  • Neoadjuvant Therapy
  • Nivolumab* / administration & dosage
  • Nivolumab* / adverse effects
  • Nivolumab* / therapeutic use
  • Skin Neoplasms* / drug therapy
  • Skin Neoplasms* / genetics
  • Skin Neoplasms* / pathology

Substances

  • Ipilimumab
  • Nivolumab
  • Biomarkers, Tumor
  • Interferon-gamma
  • B7-H1 Antigen
  • CD274 protein, human

Associated data

  • ClinicalTrials.gov/NCT02977052