Enhancing risk prediction for cerebral venous thrombosis: evaluation of an integrated approach with clinical CVT probability score and D-dimer levels

BMC Neurol. 2026 Feb 13;26(1):154. doi: 10.1186/s12883-026-04687-x.

Abstract

Background: Diagnosing cerebral venous thrombosis (CVT) is challenging due to varied symptoms. Computed tomography venography (CTV) or magnetic resonance venography (MRV) are the gold standard, but resource-demanding with potential side effects. We evaluated the diagnostic properties of a previously proposed CVT probability score combined with D-dimer levels in detecting CVT.

Methods: Medical records of consecutive adults who underwent CTV or MRV due to suspicion of CVT at a Norwegian primary hospital were retrospectively analyzed. The CVT probability score was calculated based on previous medical history and clinical findings/symptoms at presentation to stratify patients into low, moderate or high CVT probability groups. Performance characteristics were calculated for the CVT probability score with and without D-dimer levels.

Results: Among 578 patients evaluated from 2016 to 2019, CVT was confirmed in 6.6%. The CVT probability score was available for 444 patients and distributed one-third of CVT patients across each CVT probability group, with a 0.33 sensitivity for each group. A negative predictive value (NPV) of 0.96 was noted for the high CVT probability group. The NPV was 0.99 for the combined low/moderate CVT probability group including D-dimer > 500 µg/L. The positive predictive values were all fairly low.

Conclusion: Our results indicate that using a CVT probability score and D-dimer levels can help exclude CVT; however, false positive cases present a clinical challenge and carry the risk of excessive advanced imaging.

Keywords: Cerebral venous thrombosis; Headache; Imaging; Stroke.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Female
  • Fibrin Fibrinogen Degradation Products* / analysis
  • Fibrin Fibrinogen Degradation Products* / metabolism
  • Humans
  • Intracranial Thrombosis* / blood
  • Intracranial Thrombosis* / diagnosis
  • Intracranial Thrombosis* / diagnostic imaging
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Phlebography
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Probability
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment
  • Venous Thrombosis* / blood
  • Venous Thrombosis* / diagnosis
  • Venous Thrombosis* / diagnostic imaging

Substances

  • Fibrin Fibrinogen Degradation Products
  • fibrin fragment D