Multi-modal AI for opportunistic screening, staging and progression risk stratification of steatotic liver disease

Nat Commun. 2026 Feb 11;17(1):1562. doi: 10.1038/s41467-026-68414-3.

Abstract

The global rise in steatotic liver disease poses a significant public health challenge. While non-contrast computed tomography scans hold promise for opportunistic detection of steatotic liver disease, their potential for staging and risk assessment remains underexplored. Here we present a multimodal AI model trained on a large dataset, comprising of (n=968) histopathologically and (n=1103) radiologically confirmed cases, validated against both histology (n=660) and MRI-PDFF (n=375) gold standards, demonstrating high accuracy in detecting mild to severe steatosis (AUC: 0.904-0.929) and clinically significant fibrosis (AUC: 0.824-0.888). Furthermore, integrating the model into the standard clinical pathway improves primary risk screening in a retrospective patient cohort (n=1192), identifying 36% more patients at risk of fibrosis progression. Using Cox proportional hazard model, we observe that the intermediate-high risk patients identified by the optimized clinical pathway exhibits a significantly higher incidence of cirrhosis (hazard ratio: 5.54: 2.69-11.42), showcasing the model's potential for early detection and management of steatotic liver disease.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Artificial Intelligence*
  • Disease Progression
  • Fatty Liver* / diagnosis
  • Fatty Liver* / diagnostic imaging
  • Fatty Liver* / pathology
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Liver / diagnostic imaging
  • Liver / pathology
  • Liver Cirrhosis / diagnosis
  • Liver Cirrhosis / diagnostic imaging
  • Liver Cirrhosis / pathology
  • Magnetic Resonance Imaging
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease / diagnostic imaging
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment
  • Tomography, X-Ray Computed