Multivariate patterns of plasma biomarkers predict region-specific Alzheimer's pathology and cognitive decline across independent cohorts

Alzheimers Dement. 2026 Mar;22(3):e71265. doi: 10.1002/alz.71265.

Abstract

Introduction: Alzheimer's disease (AD) is characterized by the progressive accumulation of amyloid-beta (Aβ) plaques, tau tangles, and neurodegeneration (ATN framework). While neuroimaging detects these changes, it is costly and not widely accessible. Blood-based biomarkers offer scalable alternatives for early detection.

Methods: We integrated plasma biomarkers, neuroimaging, and cognitive data from two large cohorts. We examined multivariate patterns of plasma Aβ42/Aβ40, phosphorylated tau (p-tau) 217, p-tau181, neurofilament light (NfL), and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) that predict amyloid, tau, neurodegeneration, and memory decline.

Results: Specific plasma biomarker combinations predicted amyloid burden in the precuneus, tau in the entorhinal cortex, hippocampal atrophy, and memory decline. Models trained in one cohort accurately predicted outcomes in the other, confirming cross-cohort generalizability.

Discussion: Distinct plasma signatures reflect underlying AD pathways, supporting the use of blood-based biomarkers as cost-effective, noninvasive tools for early detection, disease monitoring, and individualized risk profiling.

Keywords: ATN framework; Alzheimer's disease (AD); pathology; plasma biomarkers; predictive models.

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Alzheimer Disease* / blood
  • Alzheimer Disease* / diagnostic imaging
  • Alzheimer Disease* / pathology
  • Amyloid beta-Peptides / blood
  • Biomarkers* / blood
  • Brain* / diagnostic imaging
  • Brain* / pathology
  • Cognitive Dysfunction* / blood
  • Cognitive Dysfunction* / diagnostic imaging
  • Cognitive Dysfunction* / pathology
  • Cohort Studies
  • Female
  • Glial Fibrillary Acidic Protein / blood
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Neurofilament Proteins / blood
  • Peptide Fragments / blood
  • tau Proteins / blood

Substances

  • Biomarkers
  • tau Proteins
  • Amyloid beta-Peptides
  • Glial Fibrillary Acidic Protein
  • Neurofilament Proteins
  • Peptide Fragments
  • neurofilament protein L