Background: The prognostic value of rapid atrial pacing (RAP)-induced Wenckebach atrioventricular block (W-AVB) as a diagnostic test for predicting permanent pacemaker implantation (PPI) after transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) remains unclear and requires further validation. The objective of this study was to evaluate the predictive value of RAP-induced W-AVB for PPI and sudden cardiac death within 30 days post-TAVR.
Methods: This prospective, investigator-initiated, multicenter study (PACE-TAVR) included 640 patients undergoing TAVR across 12 centers. RAP was performed before and after TAVR to assess for W-AVB. Using negative predictive values and negative likelihood ratios, the predictive value of W-AVB was evaluated for the primary end point: sudden cardiac death or guideline-based indications for permanent pacemaker implantation, including complete atrioventricular block or alternating bundle branch block (Class I), and preexisting conduction disturbances with new ECG changes, new-onset left bundle branch block, a positive electrophysiology study, or sinus node dysfunction (Class II).
Results: RAP was successfully performed post-TAVR in 556 patients, with RAP-induced W-AVB observed in 192 (34.5%). W-AVB was associated with baseline conduction disturbances, amiodarone use, pre-TAVR RAP-induced W-AVB, and anesthesia type. The primary end point was more frequent in patients with W-AVB (15.6% versus 9.3%; odds ratio, 1.80 [95% CI, 1.06-3.04]; P=0.029). However, the absence of W-AVB had a negative predictive value of only 90.7% and a poor negative likelihood ratio (0.79). The test's utility declined in subgroups at high risk for PPI, including self-expanding valve recipients (odds ratio, 1.47 [95% CI, 0.84-2.58]; negative predictive value, 88.4%; negative likelihood ratio, 0.86) and patients with a baseline or new left bundle branch block (odds ratio, 1.14 [95% CI, 0.54-2.42]; negative predictive value, 81.3%; negative likelihood ratio, 0.95).
Conclusions: RAP-induced W-AVB demonstrates limited utility in predicting post-TAVR PPI or sudden cardiac death, particularly in patients at high risk for PPI. Clinicians should be cautious when using this test for post-TAVR rhythm management.
Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT05278585.
Keywords: anesthesia; humans; odds ratio; prognosis; prospective studies.