Immune imprinting, where prior exposures shape antibody responses to variant antigens, remains a central obstacle to optimizing vaccination against evolving viruses. Here, we present DynaVac, a mathematical framework that models antigen-specific B cell dynamics, particularly the competition between memory and naive compartments across antigenic distances. Calibrated on neutralization titers from murine and human studies spanning diverse SARS-CoV-2 vaccine platforms, DynaVac accurately predicts antibody responses across complex heterologous and multivalent regimens. In silico simulations reveal three imprinting zones-protection, pitfall, and breakthrough-that determine when updated vaccinations amplify, are suppressed by, or bypass preexisting immunity. Unlike prior models limited to qualitative or single-exposure settings, DynaVac integrates empirical cross-neutralization matrices and enables prospective simulation of continuous booster responses across antigenic variants, dosages, and intervals. DynaVac also provides an actionable strategy for guiding real-time vaccine updates and strain selection. While DynaVac is calibrated on SARS-CoV-2, its structure is generalizable to other fast-evolving pathogens.
Keywords: CP: immunology; SARS-CoV-2 evolution; dynamic vaccination modeling; immune imprinting; immunogenicity evolution; vaccination strategies.
Copyright © 2026 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.