ExTRa mapping-derived non-passive activation predicts atrial fibrillation recurrence following pulmonary vein isolation in persistent atrial fibrillation

Int J Cardiol. 2026 Aug 1:456:134503. doi: 10.1016/j.ijcard.2026.134503. Epub 2026 Apr 17.

Abstract

Background: Pulmonary vein (PV) isolation is the cornerstone of catheter ablation for atrial fibrillation (AF), yet its efficacy remains suboptimal in persistent AF, partly due to non-PV drivers. ExTRa Mapping, a real-time phase mapping system, enables visualization of spatiotemporal AF dynamics and identification of non-PV drivers. This study investigated whether ExTRa Mapping parameters predict AF recurrence after PV isolation in persistent AF.

Methods: Forty consecutive patients with symptomatic persistent AF were enrolled. All underwent extensive PV isolation followed by adjunctive ablation targeting non-PV driver regions identified by ExTRa Mapping.

Results: Mean AF duration was 1.3 ± 2.1 years, and mean follow-up was 2.3 ± 1.8 years. AF recurred in 20 patients. The ExTRa score, defined as the mean of the five highest non-passive activation (%NP) values, was significantly associated with AF recurrence (p = 0.0040). An ExTRa score ≥ 55.8% predicted recurrence with an area under the curve of 0.767 (log-rank p = 0.0012). Patients with the highest %NP localized to the peri-left atrial appendage region had higher recurrence rates than those with non-peri-LAA localization (p = 0.0384). The ExTRa score was significantly associated with recurrence in univariate Cox analysis (HR 4.99, p = 0.0012) and remained an independent predictor in multivariate analysis (HR 7.86, p < 0.0001). Adjunctive ablation of the top five regions did not ensure durable rhythm control.

Conclusions: The ExTRa score independently predicts AF recurrence after PV isolation in persistent AF and may aid in identifying high-risk patients and optimizing individualized ablation strategies.

Keywords: Ablation; On-line real-time mapping; Persistent atrial fibrillation; Pulmonary vein isolation; Recurrence.

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Atrial Fibrillation* / diagnosis
  • Atrial Fibrillation* / physiopathology
  • Atrial Fibrillation* / surgery
  • Body Surface Potential Mapping* / methods
  • Catheter Ablation* / methods
  • Catheter Ablation* / trends
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Pulmonary Veins* / physiopathology
  • Pulmonary Veins* / surgery
  • Recurrence