Simplified models of screening for chronic disease: estimation procedures from mass screening programmes

Biometrics. 1984 Mar;40(1):1-14.


The performance of a screening programme depends on a number of parameters, which may need different types of information for their estimation. In this paper, two characteristics of interest, the sojourn-time distribution and the sensitivity, are considered, and estimation procedures, based on data which should be available from a mass screening programme, are proposed. The methods are applied to published data from the HIP breast cancer screening project, to which a negative exponential distribution for the sojourn-time distribution fitted better than the other families of distribution considered.

MeSH terms

  • Breast Neoplasms / epidemiology
  • Chronic Disease / epidemiology*
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Mass Screening*
  • Models, Biological*
  • New York