Family history and risk of fatal prostate cancer

Epidemiology. 1997 Nov;8(6):653-7. doi: 10.1097/00001648-199710000-00007.

Abstract

To examine the relation between fatal prostate cancer and family history of prostate cancer in a first-degree relative, we analyzed data from a prospective mortality study of 481,011 men with no history of cancer at enrollment in 1982. During 9 years of follow-up, 1,922 deaths from prostate cancer occurred. Results from Cox proportional hazard models showed that family history of prostate cancer was related to fatal prostate cancer [rate ratio (RR) = 1.60; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.31-1.97]; men with two or more affected relatives had a greater than threefold increase in risk (RR = 3.19; 95% CI = 1.51-6.71). Men whose relatives were diagnosed with prostate cancer before age 65 years (RR = 2.03; 95% CI = 1.33-3.09) had a greater effect of family history than men whose relatives were diagnosed at older ages (RR = 1.50; 95% CI = 1.17-1.91). Rate ratios did not increase with decreasing age of the study participants. The 60% increase in risk for men with at least one affected relative is lower than that reported in previous studies.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Age of Onset
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Confidence Intervals
  • Family Health*
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Nuclear Family
  • Odds Ratio
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Prospective Studies
  • Prostatic Neoplasms / genetics
  • Prostatic Neoplasms / mortality*
  • Risk Assessment
  • United States / epidemiology