Assessment of model adequacy for Markov regression time series models

Biometrics. 1998 Sep;54(3):1165-75.

Abstract

In Markov regression models with time series data, we apply asymptomatic results to obtain the quasi-score, quasi-Wald, and quasi-likelihood ratio tests for assessing model adequacy. Based on limited simulation studies, we show that these three test statistics, particularly the quasi-score test, perform reasonably well in small samples. In addition, we apply these tests to the mean-shift outlier model to examine outliers. The usefulness of these tests is demonstrated via the analysis of three practical examples.

Publication types

  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Animals
  • Biometry / methods*
  • Birth Rate
  • California / epidemiology
  • Female
  • Haplorhini
  • Head and Neck Neoplasms / mortality
  • Humans
  • Likelihood Functions
  • Markov Chains*
  • Maternal Age
  • Models, Statistical*
  • Pregnancy
  • Pregnancy, High-Risk
  • Regression Analysis
  • Synaptic Transmission
  • Time Factors