Comparison of multiple prediction models for ambulation following spinal cord injury

Proc AMIA Symp. 1998:528-32.

Abstract

Few studies have properly compared predictive performance of different models using the same medical data set. We developed and compared 3 models (logistic regression, neural networks, and rough sets) in the in prediction of ambulation at hospital discharge following spinal cord injury. We used the multi-center Spinal Cord Injury Model System database. All models performed well and had areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve in the 0.88-0.91 range. All models had sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy greater than 80% at ideal thresholds. The performance of neural network and logistic regression methods was not statistically different (p = 0.48). The rough sets classifier performed statistically worse than either the neural network or logistic regression models (p-values 0.002 and 0.015 respectively).

Publication types

  • Comparative Study
  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.
  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, P.H.S.

MeSH terms

  • Acute Disease
  • Adult
  • Data Interpretation, Statistical
  • Decision Support Techniques*
  • Evaluation Studies as Topic
  • Female
  • Fuzzy Logic
  • Humans
  • Locomotion*
  • Logistic Models
  • Male
  • Models, Statistical*
  • Neural Networks, Computer*
  • Prognosis
  • Sensitivity and Specificity
  • Spinal Cord Injuries / classification
  • Spinal Cord Injuries / rehabilitation*
  • Treatment Outcome