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Changes in IPCC Scenario Assessment Emulators Between SR1.5 and AR6 Unraveled.
Nicholls Z, Meinshausen M, Lewis J, Smith CJ, Forster PM, Fuglestvedt JS, Rogelj J, Kikstra JS, Riahi K, Byers E. Nicholls Z, et al. Geophys Res Lett. 2022 Oct 28;49(20):e2022GL099788. doi: 10.1029/2022GL099788. Epub 2022 Oct 18. Geophys Res Lett. 2022. PMID: 36589268 Free PMC article.
Can updated climate pledges limit warming well below 2°C?
Ou Y, Iyer G, Clarke L, Edmonds J, Fawcett AA, Hultman N, McFarland JR, Binsted M, Cui R, Fyson C, Geiges A, Gonzales-Zuñiga S, Gidden MJ, Höhne N, Jeffery L, Kuramochi T, Lewis J, Meinshausen M, Nicholls Z, Patel P, Ragnauth S, Rogelj J, Waldhoff S, Yu S, McJeon H. Ou Y, et al. Among authors: nicholls z. Science. 2021 Nov 5;374(6568):693-695. doi: 10.1126/science.abl8976. Epub 2021 Nov 4. Science. 2021. PMID: 34735225
A new scenario logic for the Paris Agreement long-term temperature goal.
Rogelj J, Huppmann D, Krey V, Riahi K, Clarke L, Gidden M, Nicholls Z, Meinshausen M. Rogelj J, et al. Among authors: nicholls z. Nature. 2019 Sep;573(7774):357-363. doi: 10.1038/s41586-019-1541-4. Epub 2019 Sep 18. Nature. 2019. PMID: 31534246 Free article.
Reduced Complexity Model Intercomparison Project Phase 2: Synthesizing Earth System Knowledge for Probabilistic Climate Projections.
Nicholls Z, Meinshausen M, Lewis J, Corradi MR, Dorheim K, Gasser T, Gieseke R, Hope AP, Leach NJ, McBride LA, Quilcaille Y, Rogelj J, Salawitch RJ, Samset BH, Sandstad M, Shiklomanov A, Skeie RB, Smith CJ, Smith SJ, Su X, Tsutsui J, Vega-Westhoff B, Woodard DL. Nicholls Z, et al. Earths Future. 2021 Jun;9(6):e2020EF001900. doi: 10.1029/2020EF001900. Epub 2021 Jun 4. Earths Future. 2021. PMID: 34222555 Free PMC article.