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Page 1
Challenges for modelling interventions for future pandemics.
Kretzschmar ME, Ashby B, Fearon E, Overton CE, Panovska-Griffiths J, Pellis L, Quaife M, Rozhnova G, Scarabel F, Stage HB, Swallow B, Thompson RN, Tildesley MJ, Villela D. Kretzschmar ME, et al. Among authors: scarabel f. Epidemics. 2022 Mar;38:100546. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2022.100546. Epub 2022 Feb 11. Epidemics. 2022. PMID: 35183834 Free PMC article.
Modelling: Understanding pandemics and how to control them.
Marion G, Hadley L, Isham V, Mollison D, Panovska-Griffiths J, Pellis L, Tomba GS, Scarabel F, Swallow B, Trapman P, Villela D. Marion G, et al. Among authors: scarabel f. Epidemics. 2022 Jun;39:100588. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2022.100588. Epub 2022 May 31. Epidemics. 2022. PMID: 35679714 Free article.
EpiBeds: Data informed modelling of the COVID-19 hospital burden in England.
Overton CE, Pellis L, Stage HB, Scarabel F, Burton J, Fraser C, Hall I, House TA, Jewell C, Nurtay A, Pagani F, Lythgoe KA. Overton CE, et al. Among authors: scarabel f. PLoS Comput Biol. 2022 Sep 6;18(9):e1010406. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010406. eCollection 2022 Sep. PLoS Comput Biol. 2022. PMID: 36067224 Free PMC article.
Shut and re-open: the role of schools in the spread of COVID-19 in Europe.
Stage HB, Shingleton J, Ghosh S, Scarabel F, Pellis L, Finnie T. Stage HB, et al. Among authors: scarabel f. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2021 Jul 19;376(1829):20200277. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2020.0277. Epub 2021 May 31. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2021. PMID: 34053270 Free PMC article.
Estimation of reproduction numbers in real time: Conceptual and statistical challenges.
Pellis L, Birrell PJ, Blake J, Overton CE, Scarabel F, Stage HB, Brooks-Pollock E, Danon L, Hall I, House TA, Keeling MJ, Read JM; JUNIPER Consortium; De Angelis D. Pellis L, et al. Among authors: scarabel f. J R Stat Soc Ser A Stat Soc. 2022 Nov;185(Suppl 1):S112-S130. doi: 10.1111/rssa.12955. Epub 2022 Nov 22. J R Stat Soc Ser A Stat Soc. 2022. PMID: 37063605 Free PMC article.
Challenges in control of COVID-19: short doubling time and long delay to effect of interventions.
Pellis L, Scarabel F, Stage HB, Overton CE, Chappell LHK, Fearon E, Bennett E, Lythgoe KA, House TA, Hall I; University of Manchester COVID-19 Modelling Group. Pellis L, et al. Among authors: scarabel f. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2021 Jul 19;376(1829):20200264. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2020.0264. Epub 2021 May 31. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2021. PMID: 34053267 Free PMC article.
18 results