Randomized clinical trials using human papillomavirus (HPV) DNA testing have found increased protection against cervical cancer and HPV-based screening is globally recommended for women ≥30 years of age. HPV-mRNA is a promising alternative target for cervical screening tests, but assessing equivalence requires longitudinal evaluation over at least the length of a screening interval. Our aim is to analyze the longitudinal sensitivity of HPV-mRNA and HPV-DNA in cervical samples taken up to 7 years before severe cervical intraepithelial neoplasia or worse (CIN3+). From a population-based cohort of 95,023 women in Sweden, cervical samples were frozen at -80°C between May 2007 and January 2012. Registry linkages identified that 1,204 of these women had CIN3+ 4 months to 7 years after enrolment. Baseline samples were analyzed for HPV-mRNA (Aptima, Hologic) and for HPV-DNA (Cobas 4800, Roche) and results from both tests obtained for 1,172 women. For both women <30 and ≥ 30 years, HPV-mRNA had similar sensitivity for CIN3+ as HPV-DNA (p = 0.0217 and p = 0.0123 in noninferiority testing for at least 90% relative sensitivity, respectively). Among women ≥30 years, the longitudinal sensitivities for CIN3+ occurring 5-7 years later were comparable [76.3% (95% CI: 65.8%-84.3%) and 82.5% (95% CI: 72.6%-89.4%)] as were the longitudinal negative predictive values for absence of CIN3+ [99.97% (95% CI: 99.95-99.98) and 99.98% (95% CI: 99.96-99.99)], for the HPV-mRNA and HPV-DNA test. In conclusion, HPV-mRNA testing has similar longitudinal sensitivity as HPV-DNA, implying that HPV-mRNA testing can safely be used for cervical screening.
Keywords: CIN; HPV-DNA; HPV-mRNA.
© 2018 UICC.