Causes and predictors of mortality from lupus nephritis in Southern Hunan, China

Objectives: The objective of the study was to explore the causes and predictors of mortality in a cohort of LN with LN in southern Hunan, China.

Methods: We analyzed 236 patients with biopsy-proven LN during 2010-2018. Demographic data, laboratory data, SLEDAI scores, treatment strategies, and comorbidity were collected. Cox regression analysis was carried out to determine the independent predictors of mortality.

Results: The patients had mean disease duration of 67.9 ± 28.2 months. Class IV LN was the predominant biopsy class within the cohort (38.1%). After 1 year therapy, the majority of patients achieved complete remission (72.9%) and 44 (18.6%) patients achieved partial remission. The 5- and 10-years survival rates for our cohort were 94.4 and 85.2%, respectively. There were 18 deaths (7.6%), of which the main causes were infection (50%) alone and cardiovascular diseases (27.8%). Independent predictors of mortality in our cohort were: platelet-to-neutrophil ratio (PNR) [hazard ratio (HR) 5.910; confidence interval (CI) 1.253-27.875], onset age (HR 1.090; CI 1.035-1.147), and SLEDAI scores (HR 1.258; CI 1.068-1.482).

Conclusion: We firstly revealed that PNR might be a promising predictor of mortality and reported the causes and prognostic predictors of mortality in LN from southern Hunan, China.