Background: The feasibility of using coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) for long-term prediction of vital prognosis post-revascularization remains unknown.
Objectives: To compare the prognostic value of the SYNTAX score II 2020 (SS-2020) derived from invasive coronary angiography (ICA) or CCTA in patients with three-vessel disease and/or left main coronary artery disease undergoing percutaneous or surgical revascularization.
Methods: In the SYNTAX III REVOLUTION trial, the probability of death at five years was retrospectively assessed by calculating the SS-2020 using ICA and CCTA. High- and low-risk patients for mortality were categorized according to the median percentages of predicted mortality based on both modalities. The discriminative abilities of the SS-2020 were assessed using Harrell's C statistic.
Results: The vital status at five years of the 215 patients revascularized percutaneously (64 patients, 29.8%) or surgically (151 patients, 70.2%) was established through national registries. In patients undergoing revascularization, the SS-2020 was possibly helpful in discriminating vital prognosis at 5 years, with similar results seen with ICA and CCTA (C-index with ICA = 0.75, intercept = -0.19, slope = 0.92 and C-index with CCTA = 0.75, intercept = -0.22, slope = 0.99). In high- and low-risk patients, Kaplan-Meier estimates showed significant, and almost identical relative differences in observed mortality, irrespective of imaging modality (ICA: 93.8% vs 78.7%, log-lank P < 0.001; CCTA: 93.7% vs 78.5%, log-lank P < 0.001).
Conclusions: The predictive ability of the SS-2020 for five-year all-cause mortality derived from ICA and CCTA was comparable, and could helpfully discriminate vital prognosis in high- and low-risk patients.
Keywords: Coronary computed tomography angiography; Invasive coronary artery; Predictive ability; SYNTAX score 2020.
Copyright © 2023. Published by Elsevier Inc.