Eosinophil recovery in hospitalized COVID-19 patients is associated with lower rates of ICU admission and in-hospital mortality: An observational cohort analysis

Background: Admission eosinopenia (<100 cells/μL) is associated with poor clinical outcomes in hospitalized COVID-19 patients. However, the effects of eosinophil recovery (defined as reaching ≥50 eosinophils/μL) during hospitalization on COVID-19 outcomes have been inconsistent.

Methods: The study included 1,831 patients admitted to UCLA hospitals between February 2020 and February 2021 with PCR-confirmed COVID-19. Using competing risk regression and modeling eosinophil recovery as a time-dependent covariate, we evaluated the longitudinal relationship between eosinophil recovery and in-hospital outcomes including ICU admission, need for mechanical ventilation, and in-hospital mortality. All analyses were adjusted for covariates including age, BMI, tobacco smoke exposure, comorbidities known to be risk factors for COVID-19 mortality, and treatments including dexamethasone and remdesivir.

Results: Eosinophil recovery was evaluated in patients with <50 eosinophils/μL on admission (n = 1282). These patients cumulatively amassed 11,633 hospital patient-days; 3,985 of those days qualified as eosinophil recovery events, which were represented by 781 patients achieving at least one instance of eosinophil recovery during hospitalization. Despite no significant difference in the rate of mechanical ventilation, eosinophil recoverers had significantly lower rates of in-hospital mortality (aHR: 0.44 [0.29, 0.65], P = 0.001) and ICU admission (aHR: 0.25 [0.11, 0.61], P = 0.002).

Conclusion: Trending eosinophil counts during hospitalization is simple and can be performed in resource-limited healthcare settings to track the inflammatory status of a patient. Lack of eosinophil recovery events can identify those at risk for future progression to severe COVID.