Reconstruction of 60 Years of Chikungunya Epidemiology in the Philippines Demonstrates Episodic and Focal Transmission.
Salje H, Cauchemez S, Alera MT, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Thaisomboonsuk B, Srikiatkhachorn A, Lago CB, Villa D, Klungthong C, Tac-An IA, Fernandez S, Velasco JM, Roque VG Jr, Nisalak A, Macareo LR, Levy JW, Cummings D, Yoon IK.
Salje H, et al.
J Infect Dis. 2016 Feb 15;213(4):604-10. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiv470. Epub 2015 Sep 25.
J Infect Dis. 2016.
PMID: 26410592
Free PMC article.
Our models identified 4 discrete outbreaks separated by an average delay of 17 years. On average, 23% (95% confidence interval [CI], 16%-37%) of the susceptible population was infected per outbreak, with >50% of the entire population remaining susceptible at any point. ā¦
Our models identified 4 discrete outbreaks separated by an average delay of 17 years. On average, 23% (95% confidence interval [CI], ā¦