Introduction: The aim of the present study was to assess the predictive value of the age, creatinine, ejection fraction score for in-hospital mortality in patients with cardiogenic shock secondary to ST-elevation myocardial infarction.
Material and methods: This single-center, retrospective study was based on a comprehensive analysis of the hospital records of 318 consecutive cardiogenic shock patients. The age, creatinine, ejection fraction score was calculated for each patient using the equation of age/ejection fraction +1 if creatinine level is >2 mg/dl. The study population was stratified into tertiles: T1, T2, and T3, based on the age, creatinine, ejection fraction score. The primary endpoint of the study was the incidence of in-hospital mortality.
Results: The incidence of in-hospital mortality was significantly greater in patients with a high age, creatinine, ejection fraction score (T3 group) compared with the intermediate (T2 group) or the low score group (T1 group) [86.8% (n = 92 patients) vs. 57.5% (n = 61 patients) vs. 34.9% (n = 37 patients), respectively; P < 0.05 for each]. In multivariable models, after adjusting for all covariables, the risk of in-hospital mortality was 3.21 (95% confidence interval: 2.29-4.58) for patients allocated to the T3 group. The optimal cutoff for the age, creatinine, ejection fraction score for in-hospital mortality was 2.24, with a sensitivity of 74% and a specificity of 77%.
Conclusion: To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study that has demonstrated a prognostic value of the age, creatinine, ejection fraction score in patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction-related cardiogenic shock.