Is trade a blessing or a curse? A panel data analysis of the determinants of depressive disorders

Int J Public Health. 2020 Sep;65(7):1113-1121. doi: 10.1007/s00038-020-01410-6. Epub 2020 Jul 25.

Abstract

Objectives: Given the speculation of the market economy causing an epidemic of depression, this study aimed to examine the influence of international trade on the prevalence of depressive disorders.

Methods: We used panel data from 1993 to 2015 covering 170 countries (n = 3787) and applied fixed effects regression models. We modeled the prevalence of depressive disorders as a function of international trade, adjusting for economic development, economic growth, and population size. Regime types, media freedom, and capital-labor ratio were included as moderators.

Results: A 100% point increase in the value of international trade indicated a 0.09% point decrease in the prevalence of depressive disorders (- 0.09, confidence interval [CI] - 0.01 to - 0.18). However, this effect existed only for democratic countries (- 0.15, CI - 0.03 to - 0.28). The effect was more prevalent when the governments allowed the media more freedom (score of 100, - 0.31, CI - 0.17 to - 0.45) or when a country's capital-labor ratio of endowments was high (50,000, - 0.22, CI - 0.08 to - 0.35).

Conclusions: Trade brings about positive mental health outcomes in democracies, countries having free media, or capital-abundant economies.

Keywords: Capital–labor ratio; Democracy; Depression; Export; Import; Media; Trade.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Commerce / statistics & numerical data*
  • Commerce / trends*
  • Data Analysis
  • Depressive Disorder / epidemiology
  • Depressive Disorder / etiology*
  • Depressive Disorder / psychology*
  • Female
  • Forecasting
  • Humans
  • Internationality*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Prevalence
  • Regression Analysis
  • Stress, Psychological / complications*