SUITOR: Selecting the number of mutational signatures through cross-validation

PLoS Comput Biol. 2022 Apr 4;18(4):e1009309. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009309. eCollection 2022 Apr.

Abstract

For de novo mutational signature analysis, the critical first step is to decide how many signatures should be expected in a cancer genomics study. An incorrect number could mislead downstream analyses. Here we present SUITOR (Selecting the nUmber of mutatIonal signaTures thrOugh cRoss-validation), an unsupervised cross-validation method that requires little assumptions and no numerical approximations to select the optimal number of signatures without overfitting the data. In vitro studies and in silico simulations demonstrated that SUITOR can correctly identify signatures, some of which were missed by other widely used methods. Applied to 2,540 whole-genome sequenced tumors across 22 cancer types, SUITOR selected signatures with the smallest prediction errors and almost all signatures of breast cancer selected by SUITOR were validated in an independent breast cancer study. SUITOR is a powerful tool to select the optimal number of mutational signatures, facilitating downstream analyses with etiological or therapeutic importance.

Publication types

  • Research Support, N.I.H., Intramural

MeSH terms

  • Breast Neoplasms* / genetics
  • Computer Simulation
  • Female
  • Genomics
  • Humans
  • Mutation / genetics
  • Neoplasms*

Grants and funding

This research was supported by the Intramural Research Program of the National Institutes of Health, National Cancer Institute, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics (DCEG). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.